US Indices Under Pressure: 5 Problems to Watch | AUD CPI, USD Strength & Gold Outlook Skip navigation

Risk Warning: Trading financial products on margin carries a high degree of risk and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can include all your initial investment. Please ensure you fully understand the risks and take appropriate care to manage your risk.

US Indices Under Pressure: 5 Problems to Watch | AUD CPI, USD Strength & Gold Outlook

Keep an Eye on US/Canada Trade Talks to Break USDCAD Bull Run

Share:

In today’s Market Outlook, let’s take a look at Forex trading on Gold, XAUUSD, the NASDAQ, WTI Crude Oil, USDCAD, AUDJPY, AUDCAD, and AUDUSD.

Just a reminder that these videos are intended as observational and educational, and are not to be considered as trading advice.

From the technical side, we see an oversold stochastic oscillator on the daily chart but after a 3-week long bear run.

If we move out to the 4-hour chart we see consolidation into a descending triangle but keep in mind that we have Australian CPI.

In AUDJPY we have a clear downward trend so watch for a pullback.

WhatsApp Image 2026-09-29 at 1.28.40 PM

AUDCAD is back in it’s range trade mood so we will follow our technical indicators and, of course, news on the US/Canada trade dispute.

As we can see, CAD is very weak against USD so we need to see some very good news about trade agreements for this to change.

Even though crude oil is now flowing through Saudi pipelines, the market is not confident as peace talks between the US and Iran are going very badly.

So, no short trades on WTI or Brent just yet.

WhatsApp Image 2026-09-29 at 1.28.41 PM

The news out of Iran, US/Canada trade, inflation, and the Fed looking at raising interest rates has weighed on all the US indices.

Also, the confusion over the safety and profitability of AI has not helped the NASDAQ or the S&P500.

Again, any good news in any or all of these areas will be positive for the indices…but not yet.

The strong USD is still weighing on Gold but are we seeing signs of a technical reversal?

A trend following strategy would include a retracement back to the upper trend line and to follow XAUUSD short.

That assumes no dramatic news on USD or geopolitical issues affecting gold.

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products, and your capital may be at risk.